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Claim GW2030 - Global warming 2000-2030

Category: Science & Technology:General Science bid 35, ask 37, last 36
Owner:7612, jdannan
Judge:3126, Varulv
created:2005/02/22
due date:2033/06/01

The Claim

This is a scaled claim that pays $0.01 for each 0.02C by which the globally averaged surface air temperature averaged over the 5 year interval 2028-32 exceeds the temperature averaged over 1998-2002. If the temperature in 2028-32 is no warmer than 1998-2002, the claim pays $0, and if the temperature is more than 2C warmer, the claim pays $1.

Note: Globally averaged surface air temperatures are currently available from NASA GISS at http://www.giss.nasa.gov/data/update/gistemp/ . The temperature in 1998-2002 was 0.56C warmer than the 1951-1980 baseline.

Payout Summary
Warming (C)+.00+.02+.04+.06+.08+.10+.12+.14+.16+.18
0.00.000.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.09
0.20.100.110.120.130.140.150.160.170.180.19
0.40.200.210.220.230.240.250.260.270.280.29
0.60.300.310.320.330.340.350.360.370.380.39
0.80.400.410.420.430.440.450.460.470.480.49
1.00.500.510.520.530.540.550.560.570.580.59
1.20.600.610.620.630.640.650.660.670.680.69
1.40.700.710.720.730.740.750.760.770.780.79
1.60.800.810.820.830.840.850.860.870.880.89
1.80.900.910.920.930.940.950.960.970.980.99
2.01.00

Judge's Statement

All players that have participated so far on 26 March 2005 agreed to correct the note such that it reads as follows:

Note: Globally averaged surface air temperatures are currently available from NASA GISS through http://www.giss.nasa.gov/data/update/gistemp/ , with a table of values at http://www.giss.nasa.gov/data/update/gistemp/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt . The temperature in 1998-2002 was 0.44C warmer than the 1951-1980 baseline.

As of August 2009, the table of globally averaged surface air temperatures could be accessed through http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt, the main page being at http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/.

The Market

Your Buy YES Orders Players Buying YES Coupons
EraseQuantityPrice
     1 @ 1   yoshi53 (8969)
     1 @ 1   MatrixMan (3607)
     3 @ 1   jar (6504)
     1 @ 20  favorunmerited (3167)
   100 @ 25  jdannan (7612)
    15 @ 29  jdannan (7612)
   100 @ 30  daffy_duc (6888)
    35 @ 31  jdannan (7612)
    44 @ 32  Wade Enterprises (9004)
   100 @ 32  daffy_duc (6888)
     1 @ 33  GTmechanic (9750)
     2 @ 33  wilian (4844)
    32 @ 33  Oracle (167)
     3 @ 34  jar (6504)
     1 @ 35  jar (6504)
     
Price Plot for life of GW2030
Last trade price: 36
Current ask price: 37
Current bid price: 35
Pairs outstanding: 668
Players participating: 24
View the ticker for this Claim.

Your cash balance: 2732.29
Your holdings in this Claim: 0
Your UID:
Your password:
Your Sell YES Orders Players Selling YES Coupons
EraseQuantityPrice
     8 @ 37  Oracle (167)
     8 @ 37  jar (6504)
     5 @ 37  blocko (8576)
     4 @ 37  jdannan (7612)
    38 @ 38  blocko (8576)
    40 @ 39  blocko (8576)
   100 @ 40  daffy_duc (6888)
    41 @ 40  blocko (8576)
     1 @ 40  jash (9073)
    43 @ 42  blocko (8576)
    44 @ 44  blocko (8576)
     1 @ 45  meltwater (7879)
    46 @ 46  blocko (8576)
    48 @ 48  blocko (8576)
    50 @ 50  blocko (8576)
    10 @ 55  ezrollers (7692)
    10 @ 65  ezrollers (7692)
    88 @ 80  Jonathan Kaplan (4493)
     1 @ 99  crandles (7886)
     

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