Kirkpatrick Sale will win his bet with Kevin Kelly. See Wired 3.06 page 216. Mr. Kelly proposed the bet, saying, "I bet you $1000 that in the year 2020, we're not even close ot the kind of disaster you describe--a convergence of three disasters: global currency collapse, significant warfare between rich and poor, and environmental disasters of some significant size. We won't even be close." Each of the parties has written a check to the publisher they share, Bill Patrick at Addison Wesley.
The Wired article referenced above can now be found in a new location in Wired's archive.
YES coupons in NLud are, broadly speaking, a bet that disaster *does* occur. I will not "override" Bill Patrick's judgement.
I will judge based on the intent of this claim, if I perceive such intent to be obvious. If such intent is ambiguous I will judge on the basis of the precise wording. If both are ambiguous, I will look for a solution which follows IF/FX precedent insofar as such precedent is apparent to me and applicable to the claim. I will seek the guidance of the claim's owner/author in interpreting the claim. It's his or her question - s/he ought to get the answer sought. If I believe this claim to have met a YES or NO condition, and if I believe judgement will be controversial, I will post a prospective judgement to fx-discuss and forestall entering the judgement for a comment period to be announced in the post.
1 @ 1 Georgi (8895) 1 @ 1 whojgalt (4051) 1 @ 1 haggis (2155) 150 @ 3 Chris Hibbert (2) 100 @ 4 stem (288) 10 @ 5 Groove (268) 10 @ 10 shdw (5887) 18 @ 11 Lorne (676) 10 @ 12 Telemachus (1044) 4 @ 14 PenDragon (3991) 10 @ 15 theseeker (3307) 100 @ 15 Chris Hibbert (2) 4 @ 16 mlinksva (1718) 20 @ 16 eiffel (3141) 10 @ 17 David Cary (861) 20 @ 17 eiffel (3141) 10 @ 18 David Cary (861) 13 @ 19 Georgi (8895) 28 @ 19 Chris Hibbert (2) 12 @ 20 Georgi (8895) 11 @ 21 Georgi (8895) 1 @ 22 Loophole (97) 7 @ 22 tWD (3601) 13 @ 22 Georgi (8895) 1 @ 23 Loophole (97) 13 @ 23 Georgi (8895) 1 @ 24 Loophole (97) 11 @ 24 Georgi (8895) 1 @ 25 GTmechanic (9750) 1 @ 25 Loophole (97) 7 @ 25 Georgi (8895) 1 @ 26 Loophole (97) 16 @ 26 Georgi (8895) 1 @ 27 Loophole (97) 1 @ 28 Loophole (97) 1 @ 29 Loophole (97) 1 @ 30 Loophole (97) 1 @ 31 Loophole (97)
1 @ 33 Loophole (97) 1 @ 34 Loophole (97) 1 @ 34 ezrollers (7692) 12 @ 35 Chris Hibbert (2) 1 @ 35 Loophole (97) 1 @ 35 PenDragon (3991) 9 @ 36 makani (5659) 1 @ 36 Loophole (97) 20 @ 37 patrik (483) 1 @ 37 Loophole (97) 1 @ 38 Loophole (97) 30 @ 39 patrik (483) 1 @ 39 Loophole (97) 170 @ 40 PeaceFrog (2359) 1 @ 40 Loophole (97) 1 @ 41 Loophole (97) 1 @ 42 Loophole (97) 100 @ 45 DiamondInTheRough (1682) 2 @ 45 PenDragon (3991) 13 @ 47 DonHo (1704) 11 @ 49 Sam Baron (2331) 51 @ 50 gmoney (3749) 4 @ 55 PenDragon (3991) 100 @ 60 sigma (1328) 1 @ 80 sigma (1328) 939 @ 99 Henry (809) 1 @ 99 Jonathan Kaplan (4493)
